977 search results for “probability” in the Public website
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Probability theory
The research programme Probability Theory focuses on probability theory and on operations research.
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Events in Probability
Seminars, conferences, and events you might be interested in:
- Probability, Operations, and Dynamics
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Scaling Limits in Algebra, Geometry, and Probability
Central Limit Theorem associated to a particular case of ergodic total automorphisms. Finally, Chapter 6 proves that the isoperiodic foliation is connected for a meromorphic differential with three poles on a torus.
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Charlene Kalle
Science
kallecccj@math.leidenuniv.nl | +31 71 527 1590
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Luca Avena
Science
l.avena@math.leidenuniv.nl | +31 71 527 2727
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Michael Keane
Science
mkeane@wesleyan.edu | +31 71 527 2727
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Floske Spieksma
Science
spieksma@math.leidenuniv.nl | +31 71 527 7128
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Evgeny Verbitskiy
Science
evgeny@math.leidenuniv.nl | +31 71 527 7120
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Frank den Hollander
Science
denholla@math.leidenuniv.nl | +31 71 527 2727
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Accurate Probabilities for Highly Activated Reaction of Polyatomic Molecules on Surfaces Using a High-Dimensional Neural Network Potential: CHD3
An accurate description of reactive scattering of molecules on metal surfaces often requires the modeling of energy transfer between the molecule and the surface phonons. Although ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) can describe this energy transfer, AIMD is at present untractable for reactions with…
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Probability words: everybody interprets them differently
What exactly does it mean when your doctor says you have a ‘good chance’ of survival? Leiden researchers discovered that there is a big difference in how people interpret such probability phrases. And that can be a problem, warns lead researcher Sanne Willems in her blog post.
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Richard Gill
Science
gill@math.leidenuniv.nl |
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create app for patients and doctors to calculate cancer survival probabilities
A new app is able to calculate personalised survival probabilities for patients suffering from soft tissue sarcoma. Doctors and patients can use the app to calculate personalised survival probabilities together. Mathematician Anja Rüten-Budde received her doctorate for her research into survival probability…
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Reality or coincidence? We need to move from probability to evidence.
In studies, it is an old acquaintance, the p-value. But mathematician Peter Grünwald wants to get rid of it. The p-value is too susceptible to fraud and can lead to a distorted picture of reality and chance. That is why he wants to work with the e-value. De Volkskrant spoke to him about it.
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Daan Zunnenberg
Science
d.w.zunnenberg@math.leidenuniv.nl | +31 71 527 2727
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New Frontiers in Probability
Conference
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Applied Probability Conference
Conference
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Steady-State Analysis of Large Scale Systems
Promotor: W.Th.F. den Hollander Co-Promotor: F.M. Spieksma
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Metastability for low-temperature Kawasaki dynamics with two types of particles
Promotor: W.Th.F. den Hollander, Co-promotor: F.R. Nardi
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Better Predictions when Models are Wrong or Underspecified
Promotor: P.D. Grünwald
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Scaling Limits in Algebra, Geometry, and Probability
PhD defence
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Advances in Survival Analysis and Optimal Scaling Methods
This thesis is based on five papers on several topics.
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Bartolomeus Häussling Löwgren
Science
b.j.p.m.haussling.lowgren@cml.leidenuniv.nl | +31 71 527 2727
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Kees Verduin
Faculteit der Sociale Wetenschappen
c.j.verduin@fsw.leidenuniv.nl | +31 71 527 2727
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Structure dependence of molecular reactions on surfaces
The research presented in this thesis makes use of small molecules (as H2 , D2 and O2 ) on well-defined single crystal surfaces (flat Pt(111), flat Cu(211) and curved Pt(111)) to elucidate the role of surface structure and degrees of freedom in the reactant in specific surface reactions.
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Mathematical Institute
Mathematics forms the basis of many innovations in technology, the service industry and science, such as data analysis and coding, artificial intelligence, weather or climate change modelling or understanding molecular processes. The researchers from the Mathematical Institute (MI) are constantly developing…
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Favourable developments for numbers
What is the relationship between probability experiments and cryptographic applications?
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Optimal decision-making under constraints and uncertainty
We present an extensive study of methods for exactly solving stochastic constraint (optimisation) problems (SCPs) in network analysis. These problems are prevalent in science, governance and industry.
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Death Revisited
The excavation of three Bronze Age barrows and surrounding landscape at Apeldoorn-Wieselseweg
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Education
The information below concerns courses that our group teaches in Leiden.
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Statistical Science
The research programme Statistical Science is concerned with the analysis and interpretation of masses of data, the quantification of uncertainty using probability models, and the development and benchmarking of algorithms and methods with these aims.
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Counting problems for number rings
Promotor: H.W. Lenstra
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Through the magnifying glass
Although nanoparticles are extensively used in various applications like consumer products and have most probably entered the environment, little is known about the effects of these particles on living organisms.
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Ab Initio Molecular Dynamics Calculations versus Quantum-State-Resolved Experiments on CHD3 + Pt(111): New Insights into a Prototypical Gas–Surface
The dissociative chemisorption of methane on metal surfaces is of fundamental and practical interest, being a rate-limiting step in the steam reforming process. The reaction is best modeled with quantum dynamics calculations, but these are currently not guaranteed to produce accurate results because…
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Gibbs Processes and Applications
Gibbs measures, as used in Statistical Mechanics, have a definition that is remarkably similar to the definition ofg-measures, used in dynamical systems.
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Surface Temperature and the Dynamics of H2 on Cu(111)
Heterogeneous catalysis is one of the fundamental processes of modern life, being common in industrial refinery and hydrogen vehicles, all the way to the living cell. The dissociation of H2 on Cu(111) is an important benchmark system for studying heterogeneous catalysis, with a large and varied amount…
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Risky Business?
Behavioral and neural mechanisms underlying risky decision-making in adolescents
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Chemical reactivity of O2, CO and CO2 on Cu surfaces
Despite the history of studies on methanol formation from CO2, the dominant elementary reaction steps that constitute the chemical mechanism for this catalyzed process are not determined.
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Ab initio molecular dynamics calculations on reactions of molecules with metal surfaces
Promotor: Prof.dr. G.J. Kroes
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Combining Participatory Mapping and Geospatial Analysis Techniques to Assess Wildfire Risk in Rural North Vietnam
Andrea Bartolucci is Assistant Professor at Institute of Security and Global Affairs. In this study, the scholars adopted a multidisciplinary approach to investigate wildfire risk in Van Chan district in northern Vietnam, a region where official data are sometimes difficult to collect or inconsisten…
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Piecewise deterministic Markov processes: an analytic approach
Promotor: S.M. Verduyn Lunel, Co-Promotores: S.C.Hille, O.W. van Gaans
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Reverse Party Favoritism in Times of Pandemics: Evidence from Poland
In this paper, Kantorowicz argues that reverse party favoritism exists. He exploits the fact that during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic crisis, the Polish government was keen to launch postal voting in the presidential elections scheduled for May 2020.
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Applied Mathematics (MSc)
The master's specialisation Applied Mathematics at Leiden University focuses on both computational and fundamental aspects of analysis and probability. It’s also an ideal basis for a PhD degree. Applied Mathematics is an excellent choice if you have the aspiration to pursue a PhD degree
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Mathematics (MSc)
The master’s programme Mathematics at Leiden University focuses on analysis, probability and statistics, number theory and (arithmetic) geometry. It offers five specialisations ranging from Applied Mathematics to Mathematics and Business Studies.
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Cum laude PhD defence: natural seed bank drives diversity
Each year, poppies disperse seeds that grow into a new generation of flowers. Sometimes, some of the seeds postpone their germination for a few years, for example when they’re covered by a layer of sand. Only when the sand disappears, do they start to sprout. Margriet Oomen did mathematical research…
- Week 1: 8-13 January 2018
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Random walks in dynamic random environments
Promotor: W.Th.F. den Hollander
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Dynamics of persistence and change in Hellenistic and Roman Egypt
Isis on the Nile. Egyptian gods in Hellenistic and Roman Egypt
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Guide for prospective students
If you are interested in studying stochastics, the following information will help you to choose the right path.